not quite, and here's why...
Before both sides get carried-away, here's the reality: the
F-22 program isn't going to just disappear overnight (ie. mothballed/canceled), it'll likely become dormant or on stand-by, so-to-speak. Much like how Reagan reinvigorated the masses for "
a 500 ship Navy" after a decade or two of perpetual cuts/down-sizing/etc' in maritime forces by previous administrations.
Why won't the the
F-22 program be totally put'down? It goes beyond job-losses & closing/shutdown costs, as such bein' largely tossed around by local/regional politicians & lobbyists for sound-bytes & press-coverage. The real reason is that there are well over ~650
F-15's in the U.S. air-arsenal, of which many will likely succumb to a manufacturing air-frame defect (meaning premature grounding, costly inspections, retrofitting, cost/risk analysis, etc'). The
F-15 is slated to be in-action until ~2025, which is reaching at this point (IMHO). The D.O.D. & media have been very conservative & guarded in how/what they've said in the past regarding the
F-15 problem'o after xxx hours of flight-time in xxx amount of years of service. But it's a lot more serious & numerous in magnitude than originally assumed/investigated. And that is one of the primary reasons why the
F-22 program will have some breaths of life in it, if even on transient life-support for years. Meaning a D.N.R. order won't be issued. . .
Another thing the
F-22 has against it is that it can't be a shared/proprietary export. Period. Other advanced weapon systems have been significantly subsidized due to their hardware/equipment sales, maint'/service support, and upgrade/refurb' for years to come. The Pentagon protects us, and it makes a buck or two off it at times. It is what it is. . .
And last, but not least... the J.S.F./
F-35 platform will in essence likely achieve about 95% of the tactical goals of the
F-22. And for those 5% of instances, enough
F-22 squadrons exist.
Yes, I feel the U.S. truly needs an advanced air-supremacy/superiority fighter that is not one but two gen's ahead of what the anyone/anywhere in the world can counter. However, the
F-35 variants will bridge the gap tremendously between the roles of the
F-16/F-14/F-18 and the maint-stay
F-15 (our current air-supremacy/superiority fighter en'masse). Where 600-700+
F-15 type of fighters were needed, now less will be required (meaning less
F-22 fighters as they were the default
F-15 replacement) due to the progression of the J.S.F./
F-35 relative to it's preceding counterparts. All makes sense, don't it?
I won't get into why we even need a single
F-22, as I'll save that for another thread if a necessitating topic needs addressed by what I may know (or how little I know, but wish to share)... for those keen for insight, it has to do what happened nearly 50 years ago from a lil' remote spot named Badaber; what transpired was necessary & gave us a reality-check in waking us up. And that's that...